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Does Lenskart's vision justify its sky-high valuation?

Let's find out

does-lenskart-vision-justify-sky-high-valuationsAditya Roy/AI-Generated Image

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Summary: Lenskart’s inflated valuation has sparked widespread debate. But behind the froth lies a fast-expanding market, a tech-driven scalable model and a cost structure built for future operating leverage. The real question isn’t whether Lenskart is expensive today, but whether it can grow fast enough to justify its premium.

Everyone talked about the ridiculous valuations of Lenskart. Why is its P/E so high? Is it justified? Are the investment bankers and the investors themselves so crazy that this price was even reached?

Yet, when the issue opened, it was subscribed multiple times over. It brought forth the paradox between concern and elation in the market. But amid all the frenzy, we wanted to address a couple of fundamental questions:

  • One, how do you value a company that straddles retail and tech, spectacle frames and SaaS-like scalability?
  • Two, what are the key things to watch, track and truly understand about Lenskart before investing in it?

1. Revenue: Growth is the real prescription

Forget Lenskart’s frothy 260 times P/E valuation. Even a P/E of 20 would make little sense if growth were absent. But in Lenskart's case, growth is there — and it has a long runway ahead.

What separates Lenskart from a regular retailer is that its addressable market is expanding rapidly, and the company is positioned right at the intersection of rising healthcare awareness, lifestyle spending and digital convenience.

The factors shaping its growth are not hard to see. The prevalence of refractive errors — nearsightedness, farsightedness and astigmatism — is rising sharply, especially among younger populations (increasing from 21 per cent to 39 per cent between FY20 and FY25), spending long hours on screens. Yet, the penetration of prescription eyewear in India remains low compared to global standards. This is a classic underpenetrated market with structural tailwinds.

What makes Lenskart grow?

D2C players are expected to rise faster within the organised segment

Geographies India Southeast Asia Japan Middle East
Prevalence of Refractive Errors (%) FY25 53 65 68 40
Prevalence of Refractive Errors (%) FY30P 62 70 71 42
Penetration of Prescription Eyeglasses (%) FY25 35 40 69 60
Penetration of Prescription Eyeglasses (%) FY30P 41 44 64 60
Organised Share of Prescription Eyeglasses (%) FY25 23 28-30 53 55-60
Organised Share of Prescription Eyeglasses (%) FY30P 30 35-40 59 67-72
Source: Lenskart RHP

On top of that, the average selling price (ASP) has been rising, aided by lifestyle upgrades and fashion-conscious consumers. The eyewear segment has quietly moved from a medical necessity to a lifestyle category, allowing Lenskart to command better pricing through design variety and brand appeal. The organised retail and D2C share of the market is also expanding, eating into the fragmented unorganised space that still dominates eyewear retail in India.

According to projections cited in the company’s prospectus, its D2C eyewear space is expected to grow rapidly in all the geographies:

  • 22-28 per cent in India
  • 7-10 per cent in Japan
  • 10-15 per cent in South East Asia, and
  • 15-20 per cent in Middle East nations

Put together, these factors provide Lenskart with enough tailwinds to clock a consolidated 20-25 per cent growth trajectory in the coming years, even without exceptional execution. And in a bull-case scenario, if it can continue to execute flawlessly, leveraging its tech-enabled omnichannel model and expanding product range, the growth could far outstrip these averages.

Therefore, for now, revenue growth seems less a question of ‘if’ and more of ‘how much’.

2. Cost: The price of building scale

For any retail-cum-tech player, profitability depends on one key equation: costs must rise more slowly than revenues. In Lenskart’s case, that equation is still being balanced.

A deeper look at the company’s restated profit and loss statement reveals that employee costs, depreciation and finance costs (mainly due to lease rentals) have been increasing much faster than revenue. At first glance, that may look alarming, especially for a company that only recently turned profitable. But these are not wasteful costs; they are the right kind of investments.

Lenskart has spent aggressively on infrastructure, talent and technology. Much of its retail footprint has come up in just the last three to four years, meaning many stores are still young and have not yet reached breakeven. Like any retailer, new stores take time to ramp up. Footfall builds gradually, customer acquisition costs remain high initially and economies of scale emerge only with maturity.

Once these stores stabilise, same-store profitability and operating leverage will begin to kick in, boosting margins without equivalent increases in costs.

Lenskart's growth investments

Variable costs are decreasing, which is helping gross margins to expand

Particulars FY23-25 annualised growth (%)
Revenue from operations 33
COGS 24.9
Employee benefits expense 38.6
Finance costs 32.4
Depreciation 38.1
Other expenses 22.6
Total expenses 28.2

Additionally, the company has also invested in automation, backend manufacturing and logistics systems that will reduce per-unit costs as volumes scale.

To cut a long story short, Lenskart’s current cost structure reflects a company investing ahead of the curve, not one struggling with inefficiency. The inflated cost base today could translate into meaningful margin expansion over the next two to three years, provided growth sustains and productivity improves. For investors, that’s both a risk and an opportunity. It’s also a reminder that profitability in retail-tech hybrid companies often comes with a lag.

3. Valuation: An uneasy topic

So far, so good. But valuation is where the Lenskart story gets truly tricky. On a common-size basis, its total expenses as a percentage of income have been on a declining trend, showing improving efficiency. The company also turned breakeven in FY25, an important psychological milestone for investors.

Reducing cost burden

Excluding other income, the company stands at a break-even position

Line items in % FY25 FY24 FY23
Revenue from operations 100 100 100
COGS 32.1 32.7 36.1
Employee benefits expense 20.7 20 18.9
Finance costs 2.2 2.3 2.2
Depreciation and amortisation expense 12 12.4 11
Other expenses 32.5 34.9 38
Total expenses 99.5 102.2 106.3

But beyond that, it’s tough to justify the valuation. With a market cap of around Rs 70,000 crore, even a P/E of 50 times implies the company must generate Rs 1,400 crore in annual profit. To reach that figure, revenue growth should sustain at more than 25 per cent over the next 2-3 years, along with an exponential net margin expansion to 8-10 per cent— a tall order in a business still building scale and brand depth.

A long game of clarity

Lenskart’s valuation may look insane today, but that’s what markets often do when they spot a category leader at an inflexion point. The eyewear business, traditionally sleepy and fragmented, is transforming into a scalable consumer-tech story.

The company’s omnichannel ecosystem — with 2,800-plus stores globally, millions of app users and a strong international push — reflects ambition and confidence. But high expectations can be a double-edged sword. Markets will now judge Lenskart not for its innovation or visibility, but for its ability to translate growth into sustainable profitability.

So, is the P/E of 260 justified? Maybe not. But if Lenskart executes well, expands margins and maintains its growth rhythm, today’s valuation may not look as outrageous a few years down the line. If it stumbles, this IPO frenzy could become a cautionary tale about over-optimism in consumer-tech valuations.

For now, one thing is clear: Lenskart has set its sights far beyond frames and lenses. It’s aiming to redefine how India, and perhaps the world, sees eyewear. The only question is whether investors will keep their vision as clear.

Want clarity beyond the hype?

Lenskart’s valuation raises tough questions, and stories like this show why picking individual stocks based on hype can be risky.

At Value Research Stock Advisor, we help you cut through the noise and focus on businesses with proven fundamentals, clear profitability paths and long-term compounding potential. If you want a research-backed list of companies that justify their valuations — and avoid those that don’t — explore Stock Advisor today.

Subscribe to Stock Advisor now

Also read: Too hot to handle--India's stock market is chasing perfection

This article was originally published on November 15, 2025.

Disclaimer: This content is for information only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation.

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