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Cochin Shipyard share surges over 11% despite mixed Q4

The shipbuilder's rally continues, but margin pressure in Q4 hints at choppy waters

The shipbuilder's rally continues, but margin pressure in Q4 hints at choppy watersAdobe Stock

Cochin Shipyard is on a dream run, but not without some turbulence. On Thursday (June 5, 2025), the stock jumped around 11.5 per cent, catching attention on the back of strong revenue growth and a roaring defence order book. But beneath the surface, there’s a dip in profitability that investors shouldn’t ignore.

Q4 FY25 snapshot: A mixed bag

Cochin Shipyard’s Q4 FY25 numbers paint a mixed picture. Revenue rose sharply by 37 per cent YoY, while net profit 11 per cent. But margins slipped, and operating profit fell nearly 8 per cent.

Metric  Q4 FY25 Q4 FY24 YoY change
Revenue Rs 1,758 crore Rs 1,284 crore 37 per cent
EBITDA Rs 266 crore Rs 288 crore -7.6 per cent
EBITDA margin 15.1 per cent 22.4 per cent -0.3 bps
Net profit Rs 287 crore Rs 259 crore 10.8 per cent

The margin compression raises questions, especially in an industry where contracts are long-term and cost overruns are real.

What’s driving the rally?

The stock is currently trading at Rs 2,324 on the BSE, backed by huge volumes.

This surge comes as part of a broader rally in defence stocks. Investors are betting big on India’s naval expansion, and Cochin Shipyard is at the centre of it. The company’s expanding order book and execution wins are keeping the momentum going.

Long-term rally, but priced in?

Over the last two years, the stock has returned a staggering 737 per cent. Over three years? 1,178 per cent. That kind of run usually prices in a lot of future optimism. With defence orders still flowing in and the stock above all major moving averages, bullishness may persist, but fresh upside could be more measured.

Brokerages now peg a near-term target of Rs 2,460, with support seen near Rs 2,050.

What does Cochin Shipyard do?

Cochin Shipyard is India’s largest public sector shipbuilder. The company builds and repairs everything from aircraft carriers and patrol vessels to tankers. It’s a key supplier to the Indian Navy and Coast Guard.

Below is a table showing its fundamentals.

Metric Value
Market cap Rs 54,792 crore
ROE 16.6 per cent
ROCE 23.3 per cent
P/E ratio 66.2
P/B ratio 9.8
Dividend yield 0.5 per cent
Book value Rs 212.1
EPS Rs 31.4

Value Research Online ratings

  • Overall: 3/5
  • Quality: 9/10
  • Growth: 6/10
  • Valuation: 2/10
  • Momentum: 8/10

Should you chase the rally?

Cochin Shipyard has delivered. The defence tailwind, strong financials, and visibility from government contracts make it a solid long-term story. But after such a sharp run-up, and with margins under pressure, this may not be the best time to go all-in.

If you're holding the stock, it may be best to stay put but watch the earnings trend. But if you're looking to enter, it may be better to wait for a dip or more clarity on cost control.

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Disclaimer: This is not a stock recommendation. This story was created with the assistance of artificial intelligence and is intended for informational purposes only. Please take it with a pinch of salt and do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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