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HFCL rallies on fresh orders. But will results deliver?

HFCL share price up 3 per cent after Rs 76 crore order win and 6G tailwinds, but all eyes on Q4 numbers this week

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HFCL is back in the market's spotlight. The telecom gear maker's shares rose nearly 3 per cent to Rs 91 today (May 19, 2025), after it bagged fresh orders worth Rs 76 crore. Add to that the government's latest push on 6G policy, and investors suddenly seem more upbeat. But with Q4 earnings just days away, is the optimism justified?

Let's break it down.

So, what's buzzing?

New orders worth Rs 76 crore

The company announced two fresh wins:

  • Rs 59 crore export order
  • Rs 17 crore order from ITI (a state-run player)

Both contracts are to be executed in the next few months. While the size isn't massive, the timing matters—coming just ahead of earnings and amid a quiet few quarters on the order front.

A policy push from Delhi

On May 16, the Centre rolled out its new rules for the 6 GHz spectrum, seen as a key enabler for 6G rollout. HFCL, which has been angling for a piece of this futuristic pie, is expected to benefit as infrastructure demand builds up.

Q4 results due May 22

Last quarter, HFCL posted a 12 per cent YoY dip in net profit at Rs 72.6 crore, and revenue fell marginally to Rs 1,011.9 crore. That disappointed the Street. This time around, with fresh orders in hand and government policy winds behind it, investors are hoping for better.

What does HFCL do?

HFCL (Himachal Futuristic Communications) is a telecom infrastructure company that makes optical fibre cables, telecom gear, and turnkey network solutions. It caters to telecom operators, government projects, and exports to multiple countries. Think of it as the behind-the-scenes enabler of your internet and mobile connectivity.

Below are the company's fundamental metrics:

Metric Value
Market cap Rs 12,922 cr
Revenue (TTM) Rs 4,590 cr
Net profit (TTM) Rs 369 cr
ROE 9.6 per cent
ROCE 13.4 per cent
P/E ratio 35
P/B ratio 3
EV/EBITDA 18.6
Dividend yield 0.2 per cent
Debt to equity 0.2
EPS (TTM) Rs 2.6

Should you dial in or hold the line?

The momentum looks promising—orders, policy tailwinds, and investor buzz ahead of results. But let's not forget: HFCL's core business is fiercely competitive, and margins haven't exactly been bulletproof. Q4 numbers will give a clearer signal.

Here's how Value Research rates HFCL:

Parameter Rating
Overall ★☆☆☆☆ (1/5)
Quality 02-Oct
Growth 05-Oct
Valuation 03-Oct
Momentum 04-Oct

Despite recent stock movement, HFCL's low quality and valuation scores signal caution. These ratings reflect underlying fundamentals that investors should keep an eye on, especially with Q4 results around the corner.

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Disclaimer: This is not a recommendation. This story was created with the assistance of artificial intelligence and is intended for informational purposes only. Please take it with a pinch of salt and do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This content is for information only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation.

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