
After delivering spectacular growth in the last decade, the Indian agrochemical industry experienced several challenges in 2023, from slowing global demand and crop-related issues due to erratic monsoons affecting the whole agrochemicals sector to the dumping of Chinese chemicals in the market, which led to reduced price realisations.
The industry's struggles were compounded by the rising energy cost due to the Russia-Ukraine war, which further squeezed profit margins. These factors collectively brought down the stock returns of the agrochemical companies compared to the broader market in the last year.
Signs of recovery
However, despite these challenges, the industry shows some signs of recovery.
A major positive development is the reduction in gas prices.
In addition, there are 'green shoots' signalling an improvement in global demand. This can be attributed to the 'China plus one' strategy favouring countries like India.
Furthermore, the fundamentals of the Indian agrochemicals industry remain strong. As a result, the industry's future prospects look promising.
What do our ratings say?
We used the Value Research Stock Ratings tool and analysed the top 15 companies (by market capitalisation) in the chemical sector that are involved in pesticides, fertilisers, and diversified chemical businesses.
Our analysis found that most of the larger companies retained their high-quality scores.
However, three companies - Vinati Organics , Fine Organics , and Atul - experienced negative returns last year but still retained a quality score of 9 and 10 and an overall stock rating of 4 or higher.
These ratings indicate the strong fundamentals of these companies despite short-term events in the global market.
Stock ratings of chemical companies
Eleven companies have a rating of at least four
| Comapny | Quality score | Growth score | Valuation score | Stock rating | 1Y return (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coromandel International | 10 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5 | 39 |
| Deepak Nitrite | 8 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 4 | 24.4 |
| Tata Chemicals | 6 | 6 | 6.4 | 4 | 18.8 |
| DCM Shriram | 9 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 4 | 14.6 |
| Bayer CropScience | 9 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 5 | 12.1 |
| BASF India | 8 | 6.5 | 4 | 4 | 9.5 |
| SRF | 7 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 3 | 7.6 |
| Aarti Industries | 5 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 3 | 6.7 |
| PI Industries | 10 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 5 | 1.9 |
| Alkyl Amines Chemicals | 10 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 4 | 1.6 |
| Navin Fluorine International | 8 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 3 | -6.3 |
| Vinati Organics | 10 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 5 | -12.4 |
| Atul | 9 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 4 | -12.8 |
| Fine Organic Industries | 10 | 6.8 | 5 | 5 | -12.9 |
| UPL | 3 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 3 | -18 |
| Stock rating and price data as of January 25, 2024. | |||||
Among these, Fine Organics stood out with the highest value and growth scores, indicating a historical trend of high growth and value scores compared to Vinati Organics and Atul.
Note that these companies are not recommendations, and investors are advised to do their due diligence.
Financial performance in the chemical sector
Fine Organic Industries stands out among the peers
| Company | 5Y median ROE (%) | 5Y median ROCE (%) | 5Y revenue growth (% pa) | 5Y PAT growth (% pa) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Organic Industries | 30.7 | 38.8 | 28.7 | 45.3 |
| Vinati Organics | 22.6 | 30.4 | 23.3 | 26.1 |
| Atul | 17.4 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 12.8 |
| Remaining twelve companies | 19.5 | 22.1 | 20.6 | 18.6 |
| Data as of FY23. Data for the twelve companies has been aggregated by using the median. | ||||
Investors corner
Value Research Stock Ratings offer a bird's eye view of a company's performance. It is a valuable tool for investors to narrow choices from a sea of options. This helps in making smarter and more informed investment decisions.
Thus, our stock rating system can be an invaluable starting point for those considering investing in companies within the chemical industry or any other company in general. It helps identify potential investment opportunities and sets the stage for more detailed research and analysis. These ratings can be a crucial guide in navigating the dynamic landscape of the Indian stock market.
To learn more about the benefits of using Value Research Stock Ratings, click here .
Disclaimer: This content is for information only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation.
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