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The pigeon in every investor

How random rewards create dangerous market superstitions

Investor psychology and how market dynamics impact itAnand Kumar

dhanak हिंदी में भी पढ़ें read-in-hindi

If even pigeons can develop superstitions in the face of random events, investors can surely do so, too. In 1948, the renowned behavioural scientist B.F. Skinner conducted a fascinating experiment with pigeons that, seventy-five years later, offers some insights into investor behaviour, at least to me. Instead of rewarding the birds for specific actions, Skinner randomly gave them food. The results were remarkable: six out of eight pigeons developed elaborate 'superstitious' behaviours, convinced their peculiar actions somehow triggered the food delivery.

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