Why Warren Buffett thinks volatile stocks can be great opportunities

Published: 06th Nov 2024

By: Value Research

The myth of volatility and risk

Finance academia believes that high volatility indicates high risk. The beta metric is widely used to gauge how much a stock swings relative to the market. The higher the beta, the riskier the stock, or so the theory goes.

Buffett doesn’t agree

The legendary investor sees things differently. He argues, "A wildly fluctuating market means that irrationally low prices will periodically be attached to solid businesses." This, according to him, represents opportunity, not danger.

The chances volatility presents

Buffett’s point is that market volatility often misprices companies, offering smart investors the chance to buy great businesses at low prices. The real risk lies not in volatility, but in paying too much for a stock.

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Case in point

The Washington Post in 1973. Despite the company's turbulent stock price due to political and macroeconomic factors, its fundamentals were strong. It was trading at a market value of $80 million, while its assets were worth $400 million—a huge discount!

Buffett’s bet

Ignoring the stock's high beta, Buffett invested in the Washington Post, focusing on its financial health and growth potential rather than market sentiment. This investment became one of his most successful bets!

What about Indian stocks?

Our analysis confirms Buffett's view: We found 10 BSE 200 companies with a beta greater than 1 that still delivered stellar returns in the last 10 years (as of May 2023), proving that high volatility does not inherently mean high risk. Check the list from the link below.

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