Why Hindustan Zinc's OFS should raise alarm bells

Published: 15th Nov 2024

By: Value Research

Divestment kicks off

The government’s divestment in Hindustan Zinc has begun with the recent offer-for-sale (OFS), signalling a potential full exit might eventually happen. But this could spell trouble for investors. Check why in the next slides:

The OFS

After years of delays, the government, holding 30% in Hindustan Zinc, is offloading 2.5% for Rs 5,900 crore through the OFS. With Hindustan Zinc’s stock up 73% this year, it’s an opportune moment for the government to cash in.

Vedanta’s wish granted?

Vedanta, the majority shareholder, has long wanted the government out, citing its interference. The OFS suggests the government may finally be loosening its grip, which Vedanta would welcome—but at a cost to investors.

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Why investors should be cautious

A full government exit, if it happens, means Vedanta could gain unchecked control over Hindustan Zinc. With no counterforce, it could increase cash extractions via hefty dividends, to pass on to the UK-parent Vedanta Resources to help ease its debt load.

The downside of dividends

Hind Zinc has rewarded shareholders with over 100% dividend payout in the last 10 years. However, recently, the dividends (sourced by Vedanta) has outpaced its cash flow, piling on debt and stalling investments in new assets.

The importance of government on the board

In the past, the government blocked several of Vedanta’s proposals meant for sourcing cash from Hind Zinc, including plans to buy assets from Vedanta at inflated prices or increase cash withdrawals.

The risk going forward

Without the government’s oversight, Hind Zinc could face increased cash outflows. This raises red flags for minority investors. Check Hind Zinc’s dividend drain and how it is impacting its growth and cash flows from our story. Visit the link below.

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